Reef fish futures foretold
An international group of scientists is predicting markedly different outcomes for different species of coral reef fishes under climate change – and have made substantial progress on picking the ‘
ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
James Cook University Townsville
Queensland 4811 Australia
Phone: 61 7 4781 4000
Email: info@coralcoe.org.au
Globally, our climate is undergoing fundamental shifts, both in changing average weather conditions and the frequency of extreme weather events. Most notably, the Earth’s climate system is unequivocally warming, and it is extremely likely (at least 95% probability) that these changes are in large part a result of human activities.
Corals inhabiting tropical coral reefs are thermally sensitive, meaning that they can only tolerate small temperature ranges. However, climate change is causing abnormally high sea-surface temperatures, which is causing corals to bleach during summer months (see below for detail). The intensity of coral bleaching increases as temperatures become hotter.
The Great Barrier Reef has experienced two major bleaching events in recent decades, in the summers of 1998 and 2002 when, respectively, 42% and 54% of reefs were affected by bleaching.
Bleached staghorn with damselfish. Photo by Jodie Rummer.
Zooxanthellae are tiny, colourful marine algae, which live inside corals, providing them with much of their colour and, most importantly, their primary supply of energy. However, if the surrounding sea temperature becomes too warm, the algae die.
The loss of these zooxanthellae is what we refer to as ‘coral bleaching’. Without zooxanthellae coral tissue becomes transparent, revealing the white coral skeleton beneath it. Once this happens, the corals can die if unfavourable conditions persist. If, however, temperatures return to normal levels, corals can regain their zooxanthellae, although the stress is likely to cause a decrease in growth and reproduction.
Future bleaching events are inevitable, but there are a number of important steps that we can take, locally, nationally and internationally to give the Great Barrier Reef a fighting chance.
A concerted effort to reduce global carbon emissions will lessen the rise of ocean temperatures and ocean acidification. At the state level, we need to substantially improve the quality of water flowing on to the Reef. Poor water quality is particularly harmful for coral growth, reproduction and the survival of young corals, severely limiting reef recovery potential. Furthermore, research shows that excessive nutrients arriving on the Great Barrier Reef trigger harmful crown-of-thorns outbreaks, which can devastate vast areas of the reef.
How effectively we manage fishing, coastal development, pollution, trawling and shipping will play an important part in determining the future resilience of the Great Barrier Reef.
Scientists from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies surveyed 83 reefs in March at the height of the 2016 bleaching event. Take a look at our interactive map of the Great Barrier Reef. You can click on photos and videos captured during the aerial surveys and see for yourself the extent of the bleaching.
Map of corals surveyed in the 2020 bleaching event.
Not all data is shown, only reefs at either end of the
bleaching spectrum: Red circles indicate reefs undergoing
most severe bleaching (60% or more of visible corals
bleaching) Green circles indicate reefs with no or only
minimal bleaching (10% or less of corals bleaching).
Composite map of surveyed corals across the 2016 and 2017 back-to-back bleaching events. Not all data is shown, only reefs at either end of the bleaching spectrum: Red circles indicate reefs undergoing most severe bleaching (60% or more of visible corals bleaching) Green circles indicate reefs with no or only minimal bleaching (10% or less of corals bleaching).
Hot news on the 2016, 2017, and 2020 coral bleaching events:
7 April 2020: Climate change triggers Great Barrier Reef bleaching
4 April 2019: Global warming disrupts recovery of coral reefs
11 Dec 2018: A glimmer of hope for the world’s coral reefs
26 Oct 2018: Fish give up the fight after coral bleaching
05 Sept 2018: Coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef not limited to shallow depths
19 Apr 2018: Global warming is transforming the Great Barrier Reef
06 Apr 2018: Coral bleaching threatens the diversity of reef fish
29 Jan 2018: Coral reefs are in trouble – how can people adapt?
05 Jan 2018: The window for saving the world’s coral reefs is rapidly closing
03 Nov 2017: Research examines impact of coral bleaching on Western Australia’s coastline
01 June 2017: A brave new world for coral reefs
10 April 2017: Two-thirds of Great Barrier Reef hit by back-to-back mass coral bleaching
16 March 2017: Scientists mobilise as coral bleaching resumes on the Great Barrier Reef
29 November 2016: Life and death after Great Barrier Reef bleaching
26 October 2016: Scientists assess bleaching damage on Great Barrier Reef
21 June 2016 Heat sickens corals in global bleaching event
06 June 2016: Coral bleaching reaches Coral Sea
30 May 2016: Coral death toll climbs on Great Barrier Reef
20 April 2016: Only 7% of the Great Barrier Reef has avoided coral bleaching
15 April 2016: Great Barrier Reef risks losing tolerance to bleaching events
05 April 2016: National Coral Taskforce unleashes an armada of experts
29 March 2016: Coral Bleaching Taskforce documents most severe bleaching on record
21 March 2016: Scientist witnesses severe coral bleaching
14 March 2016: National Coral Taskforce puts plan into effect as bleaching intensifies
01 March 2016: National Coral Bleaching Taskforce keeping a close watch on the Reef
Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef in 2020
Coral bleaching on the northern Great Barrier Reef as seen from the air during aerial surveys in March 2016
Coral bleaching on the northern Great Barrier Reef as seen from under water during underwater surveys in March 2016
An international group of scientists is predicting markedly different outcomes for different species of coral reef fishes under climate change – and have made substantial progress on picking the ‘
New research has found as climate change causes the world’s oceans to warm, baby sharks are born smaller, exhausted, undernourished and into environments that are already difficult for them to survi
A new study shows the coastal protection coral reefs currently provide will start eroding by the end of the century, as the world continues to warm and the oceans acidify. A team of researchers led
A team of scientists led by the ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies (Coral CoE) won one of the nation’s top science awards at tonight’s ‘Oscars of Australian science’, the Eureka P
Abstract: It is a little over a decade since research commenced into the effects of anthropogenic ocean acidification on marine fishes. In that time, we have learned that projected end-of-century
Abstract: Increased uptake of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere has caused the world’s ocean to become more acidic. Different marine habitats are known to have varying ranges of CO2 across mul
Abstract: The Allen Coral Atlas (http://allencoralatlas.org) partnership uses high-resolution satellite imagery, machine learning, and field data to map and monitor the world’s coral reefs at unp
Abstract: Climate change is causing the average surface temperature of the oceans to rise and increasing the frequency and intensity of marine heatwaves. In addition, absorption of additional CO2
Abstract: Marine environments are a concealing medium, where observations of natural fish behavior are challenging. In particular, the geographic and depth distributions of migratory top predators ar
Abstract: Invasive species management can be the the subject of debate in many countries due to conflicting ecological, ethical, economic, and social reasons, especially when dealing with a species s
Abstract: Ocean acidification, the increase in seawater CO2 with all its associated consequences, is relatively well understood in open oceans. In shelf seas such as the Great Barrier Reef, processe
Abstract: The backdrop of legends and movies, the deep sea has always been unfathomable because we had no idea what existed there. Once thought to be barren of life, we now know this couldn’t be
ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
James Cook University Townsville
Queensland 4811 Australia
Phone: 61 7 4781 4000
Email: info@coralcoe.org.au